[EAI国際会議]

YouTubeリンク：https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=bFmdJ90PaAk

東アジア研究院（EAI）は12月11日と12日に、「コロナ19以降の安全保障上の課題と対応：気候変動、感染症、経済安全保障、サイバーセキュリティ」と題した国際会議を開催しました。11日の開会式では、ソン・ヨルEAI院長（延世大学教授）による歓迎の辞と、ハ・ヨンソンEAI理事長（ソウル大学名誉教授）による基調講演が行われました。ハ理事長は、21世紀の世界が安全保障、経済、体制、環境、技術、グローバル・ガバナンスの6分野の危機に直面していると診断し、国際政治の主体が各分野で競争と協力を並行して進める共進化構造を構築することで、危機を克服することを提言しました。

■ 担当・編集：パク・ハンス EAI研究員

　　お問い合わせ：02 2277 1683 (内線204) | hspark@eai.or.kr

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my name is uh sonel I am uh president of uh eai uh on behalf of uh eai I would like to welcome uh all of you including uh renowned uh Scholars and uh distinguished guest um and thank you for uh being here uh I am honored and pleased to uh take this opportunity to work with uh distinguished experts uh you know participants and Scholars present today for a two-day conference um especially I would like to uh thank the funer uh for this uh wonderful conference um eai is uh a nonpartisan nonpartisan Think Tank uh primarily

working on foreign policy uh North Korea and Asian democracy cooperation uh among others uh one important research project concerning postco World Order um during uh the covid uh eai U you know has uh you know worked on on you know various uh numbers of uh webinars on uh post uh covid post uh Corona uh World Order uh this is and and this is uh one of U you know that effort uh we have experienced uh the existing International order World Order fracturing uh covid pandemic uh has accelerated that Trends um inequality um

you know within the nation and between the Nations populism nationalism distrust uh in multilateralism international institutions and also um accelerating uh pace of uh the rise of China and us uh China strategic competition uh but at the same time we are witnessing uh the rise of uh emerging security issues um we might see a moment of appeal in that sense uh the pandemic has clearly demonstrated how infectious uh diseases uh climate change climate crisis weapon development facilitated by cryptocurrency theft in cyberspace and

the weaponization of economic interdependence all have transformed uh the landscape of national International Security and subsequently uh the world order uh recent uh public opinion posts uh conducted by E uh have demonstrate uh changes in the perception of threat uh to the public uh two years ago uh during the pandemic um eai uh did the public opinion um post uh and the top the most serious uh threat to you uh the top was pandemic and infectious diseases um that uh was uh 45% of uh the respondents said that that is the most

serious one uh us China competition and confrontation was second 44% um you know close second um and the trade and Tech war is also 44% % and traditional uh threats like nuclear uh you know North Korean nuclear and missile uh development was uh 35% so um among the top four three top three are what we discuss today and tomorrow um this year we did the same survey uh and number is um roughly very similar uh top um is trade and Tech War which is 55% of the respondent said and um very close next is nuclear North Korean

nuclear uh development um which is uh 54% um and climate change this time is 41% which is the third you know security threat so we have seen um quite big changes uh traditional obviously number one is always North Korea that is the core of South Korea's security threat perception but now that perception is increasingly diverse complex and multi-dimensional um so uh in that sense uh we are discussing three of those uh you know top four uh threat perceptions uh that South Korea people have addressed um today and and and tomorrow

uh covid-19 marks a moment of Reckoning for the present era and the future it is a uh like I said a multi-dimensional uh emergency and crisis that required efforts of all many uh disciplines today we have exports from uh many disciplines and the whole of government approach obviously so in this sense uh the study of uh emerging security becomes I mean needs a new new um analytical Frameworks and New Concepts and rigorous research to uh gain accurate insights and craft suitable responses to these evolving

challenges that is coming so uh eai is proud of Hosting uh this International Conference coping with security challenges in the postco uh 19 World um to analyze key issues and challenges in the emerging uh security from uh climate change Health uh economy and uh cyber security I hope that this event uh seeks to chart the future Pathways for Korea and the global Community to um you know tackle the emerging uh crisis I look forward to uh great discussion debate and dialogue thank you very much it is

my pleasure to have a talk on the new perspective of competitive symbios in the age of complex crisis for this conference's timely and importance conferences the Contemporary civilization in the 21st century is now facing six major crisis the first one as complex security crisis as the recent us China Summit meeting in San Francisco shows two big Powers will not easily face off at the state where the US military dominance is still maintained as it is now however this probable that Mutual misjudgment over

the core interests of the US and China May ignite military classes in the hotspots of the Indo Pacific region moreover the US government has speculated that us China military power in 2050 could become much more competitive this led the US to renew and amplify amplify its Armed Forces under the integrate deterrent strategy through utilizing conventional nuclear and AI weapon systems across complex domains of traditional cyber and outer spaces while working with allies and partners the PLC also pledges to modernize the people's

Liberation Army by 2035 to make them the world's most invin Invincible Armed Forces by 2050 2050 if by any chance us China rivalry becomes by the mid 21st century this will heighten the risk of the Strategic deterioration the second one is the economic de globalization crisis after the end of the colder in 1991 the trend of globalization could continuously increase on the Lal International order however since Global financial crisis in 2008 signs of De globalization began to appear in addition as the the disputes between the

US and China over trade escalates the level of contention over the Reconstruction of the global and regional trade over order became ever more severe un certainties are rising over over rebuilding an open global economic order as the US and China are tically involved in competition over the reorganization ation of supply chain in key Technologies and industries by elevating levels of economic and security links beyond the protected tariff War the third one as Global legitimate crisis the current rified US China

relationship prompt both sides to enter the phase of full-fledged competition over legitimacy do you us has carried out Global efforts to disseminate American American democracy that is distinct from Chinese socialism in a bit to lay the ground work for the legitimacy in the world order in the 21st century on the other hand the Chinese have emphasized ushering in a new era for Chinese socialism as a standard for new civilization by 2050 they lashed out as the US efforts as an infringement of China's core

interest which could be the core cause for generating the likelihood of Confrontation and Discord between the two sides the Discord between the established and Rising powers in the history of the modern world order in most cases stemmed from the struggle over legitimacy especially when there were military asymmetries but once the emerging Powers demands for legitimacy are not accepted then the war eventually broke out in the next phase through a rise for military Armament the fourth one is the anthropos

scene crisis in 2000 consideringly rapid growing impacts of human activities in Earth and atmosphere Paul critchen proposed to use the term anthropos for the current geological EPO covid-19 pandemic and climate changes are two representative examples of anthropos covid-19 pandemic originated from Human caed disruption of V viral sphere and also spread rapidly on the urbanized and globalized Stage climate change also is linked to the increased level of harmful carbon resulting from rapid industrialization in comparison with 4

billion years history of the earth and virus the modern form of human being began to originate during the last 200,000 years and is now playing the leading role on Earth with a great acceleration of human history since 1950s from this perspective covid-19 pandemic and climate change crisis can be interpreted as a fight back against the excessive role of the humans on the earth the fifth one is existential crisis from the high techn high technology Revolution the Revolutionary development in Cutting

Edge technology has established itself as a Cornerstone following the history of religion politics and economy it paved the way for new opportunities in complex stages simultaneously however the impact of the misev and misuse use of advanced technology such as an artificial general intelligence and super intelligence will lead to a detrimental crisis that will accelerate the end of human civilization specific specifically in four major stages military economy culture and ecology with the recent developments in

cutting ads Technologies both the US in China consider technology as a core factor that could set the Tor for relations between two countries do the US is endeavoring to reinforce International solidarity to contain China in areas such as AI G5 Big Data robots Aerospace and then Quantum communities which are the essential features of the fourth Industrial Revolution China has strengthened its domestic technology capabilities and S to break through to reduce gaps in the Hightech domain the sixth one is the

crisis of global governance according to the classic definition given by 1995 Commission on global governance for global Military and non-military security Global governance should represent the sum of many ways individuals and institutions public and private manage their common Affairs entering the 21st century traditional us lead Le liberal system of global governance is now facing difficulties and the emerging challenges of new actors such as China India middle powers and Global South countries complex stages including old

and new asent agendas and new performances of competitive symbiosis we do need to com accomplish three major tasks of building the architecture of competitive symbiosis to overcome six critically important crisis that could unfold after the covid-19 first given the increase intricate and diversified circumstances that the world is now facing the global actors in the 21st century should necessarily be constructed as having multi-dimensional and multiphases facet characteristics that affect all spheres of global concerns

however the current US Standard of compet competition without catastrophe and China's new type of international relations do not deviate remarkably from the state Centric concept of modern international order the deepening us China strategy competition is not just a matter of survival between the two superpowers but a matter of survival for the entire planet in this regard all related parties must converge to effectively grapple with the cascaded challenges by coming up with possible alternatives for

instance the issue concerning North Korea's denuclearization of also demands for complex efforts by relevant actors to impose economic sanctions apply military deterrence and globally guarantee National Security and economic development of North Korea in return for the nuclearization in the case of covid-19 pandemic although there a new question that none NE liberal globalization revealed a series of contradictions and flaws in the process of devising treatments to help the immune system to fight

covid-19 the anti globalist movement did not successfully suggest an alternative thus careful consideration for reg Global reglobalization is inevitable there are Recon movements encouraging self-reflections on the belief that human agency is the driving force of the modern world discussions over the Contemporary ecological crisis took place in time of worries about ramification of human factors on the ecosystem which is the critical issue in the anthropos debate the standard for the Global Order in an era of new

civilization following covid-19 will need to incorporate newly emerging protagonists who are capable of responding to a multifaced situation in the globe second it is it appears that time is right for devising valuable blueprint to rebuild the world order based on the reent development in international politics where Myriad crisis are intertwined in a complex form to resolve the world's most pressing problems in the area of a new civilization the three tier architecture should be built to respond

flexibly to the overarching task presented in international politics first the middle tier encompasses four critical sectors which constitute the primary section of the architecture first two sectors ecology and culture which are intri in extra linked to the new chronic postmodern crisis the last two are security and prosperity which are indispensable component that play critical role in preventing the crisis emanating from the modern era second the revolution of the information and communication

technology positioned itself as the bottom tier of the architecture acting as a driving force that refurbish the middle tiers however one should be aware that revolutionary development in artificial intelligence and Advanced Technologies tend to contribute less to human satisfaction and more to bolstering domination thus catastrophic outcome can be stay of by carefully laid plans and closely coordinate scheme third in the upper tier of the architecture addess the co-governance stage which is responsible for managing

and regulating the complex web of political economic ecological cultural and technological interdependence finally third a detailed examination of how International actor perform in the global sphere is in an important task the protagonists and the modern international order have Abode by the principle of competition which is the Crux of traditional International politics where prosperity and military defense is the necessary ingredients for the survival of the Nations States they also preferred minimal cooperation per Min

minimal cooperation as a tool to f off the maximization of conflict such as war and poverty however the era of neutal civilization requires Global protagonists not only to pursue foreign policy that puts significant emphasis on states to act according to the situation where competition cooperation and conflicts take place but to get themselves prepared to effectively deal with more complex State of Affairs in the postmodern world the successful rebuilding of new civilization in the 21st century will depend upon on how

Global actors demonstrated relent Relentless efforts to reach self Organization for survival and prosperity they should simultaneously devoted ultimate efforts for co-evolution with other protagonist as well the world order for following the covid-19 is at the crossroads where newly emerging complex crisis are calling for measures to be taken from A New Perspective of competive symbiosis of world politics there is no question that the world order in the 21st century will promptly approach toward the

apocalyptic stage of human history if no substantial alternatives are formulated in parallel South Korea as a global people State should also contribute to initiating the Korean model of competitive symbiosis thank you