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Deepening Isolation of Netanyahu at the UN General Assembly and Cracks in the Israel-Arab Normalization Track

Category
Current Watch
Published
September 26, 2026
Illustration

Executive Summary

As delegations from 70 countries walked out during Netanyahu’s speech at the UN General Assembly in September 2026, Israel’s diplomatic isolation entered a qualitatively different phase. In particular, the fact that normalization partners with formal diplomatic ties to Israel—such as Egypt, Jordan, and the UAE—joined a joint statement urging Israel to fulfill its commitments in Gaza demonstrates that this isolation is spreading beyond hostile camps to cause cracks in the normalization track itself. Conversely, ahead of the general election on October 27, Netanyahu is reframing international criticism into a narrative to rally his domestic hardline base. Meanwhile, the veto power held by coalition partners like Ben-Gvir and Smotrich continues to create a paradox where incentives for policy shifts are actually weakened. The South Korean government and businesses need to establish response frameworks by treating the potential realignment of the ruling coalition following the election, a possible freeze on economic cooperation with Israel by the eight signatory countries, and energy and logistics risks from prolonged multi-front operations as structural variables.

I. Issue Analysis

Issue Analysis: Netanyahu’s UN General Assembly Speech and Israel’s Diplomatic Isolation

1. Background and Progress of the Issue

Israel's isolation on the UN stage is not unprecedented. A similar walkout protest occurred during Netanyahu's speech at the 2025 UN General Assembly. However, the incident on September 24, 2026, is qualitatively different in scale and context. The Arab Times reported that delegations from 70 countries participated in the walkout [3]. The Algerian media outlet TSA reported that Morocco was the only Maghreb country that remained in its seat [9]. This indicates that responses within the Arab world diverged depending on the level of their normalization of relations with Israel.

The trigger for this incident was not the Gaza war itself. Paradoxically, the fact that a Gaza ceasefire was reached at the end of 2025 serves as the background [8]. The Gulf Daily News pointed out that even after the ceasefire, the death toll in Gaza remained at the center of controversy [8]. In other words, despite the outward progress of a ceasefire agreement, the humanitarian situation during the implementation phase exhausted the international community's patience.

The joint statement by the foreign ministers of eight countries (Turkey, Egypt, Indonesia, Jordan, Pakistan, Qatar, Saudi Arabia, and the UAE), reported by Turkey's Daily Sabah, was released on September 21 during the UN General Assembly [5][10]. The statement expressed “deep concern over the continuous humanitarian suffering in the Gaza Strip” and urged Israel to “immediately implement unfulfilled commitments under Phase 1 of the comprehensive plan” [10]. This includes ensuring the safe and unhindered delivery of humanitarian aid and early recovery supplies [10]. The composition of the signatories to this statement is highly suggestive. Egypt and Jordan have peace treaties with Israel, and the UAE is a signatory to the Abraham Accords. Given that even countries with formal diplomatic relations with Israel publicly joined the pressure, this can be read not merely as voices from a hostile camp, but as a signal of defection by normalization partners.

2. Current Situation

Multiple local media outlets consistently reported on the situation during Netanyahu's speech on September 24. Daily Sabah reported that dozens of diplomats walked out amidst a mix of cheers and boos the moment Netanyahu took the podium [1]. Al Jazeera characterized this as a result of mounting international criticism of the “genocidal war in Gaza” [15]. The Gulf-based outlet Gulf Daily News focused the protest on the ongoing violence in Gaza and the expansion of attacks on Palestinians by settlers in the West Bank [11].

Addressing the departing diplomats, Netanyahu remarked, “If there are any other moral cowards left in this hall who have not yet departed, leave now” [12]. Following this remark, the Israeli delegation responded with a standing ovation [14]. This reveals Netanyahu's intention to reframe international isolation not as a diplomatic failure, but as a narrative for domestic political consumption. For domestic voters, the confrontational framing of “the international community versus Israel” can serve as a tool to reinforce the legitimacy of his hardline stance.

The National (UAE) reported that Netanyahu's stay in New York was an ultra-compressed schedule of less than eight hours [7][13]. This stands in stark contrast to his week-long visit the previous year [7]. There was no separate meeting with President Trump, nor were there any contacts with key US political figures or leaders of Western European allies on his schedule [7][13]. This suggests that the White House may have found public contact with Netanyahu burdensome, especially with the US midterm elections just a month away and rising oil prices linked to Iran and Houthi rebels posing a domestic political liability [13].

Immediately following Netanyahu's speech, Irish Prime Minister Martin characterized Israel's military actions as “excessive and disproportionate” and publicly noted the deepening isolation [16]. The fact that a leader from a Western European nation, which has not traditionally been classified as a close ally, joined the public criticism indicates that the camp of critics is expanding beyond the Arab world.

3. Key Actors and Positions

The Netanyahu governmentseeks to reframe international isolation as a political asset with the general election on October 27 just a month away [13]. The presence of far-right coalition partners such as Ben-Gvir and Smotrich structurally blocks any room for flexibility in Gaza policy [EAI 990507][EAI 990343]. This creates a paradoxical structure where Netanyahu's policy discretion actually diminishes as international pressure increases.

The eight Arab and Islamic nations(Turkey, Egypt, Indonesia, Jordan, Pakistan, Qatar, Saudi Arabia, and the UAE) have formed a united front regardless of whether they maintain diplomatic relations with Israel [5][10]. Rather than demanding an outright end to the war, their demands focus on the implementation of Phase 1 of the already agreed-upon ceasefire—specifically, securing humanitarian aid corridors [10]. This approach, which challenges the implementation of existing agreements rather than disrupting the negotiation framework itself, is interpreted as a strategy to hold Israel accountable while respecting the mediation framework led by the Trump administration.

The United Stateshas deliberately minimized its presence in this incident. The absence of a Trump-Netanyahu meeting can hardly be viewed as a mere scheduling issue [13]. With significant domestic political risks from rising oil prices ahead of the midterm elections, the White House may have found the image of close alignment with Netanyahu to be a burden [13].

Western European countriesshow a trend of joining the critical front, as seen in the case of Ireland [16]. However, this is closer to normative criticism, which differs in character from the tangible pressure tactics (such as downgrading diplomatic ties or economic measures) employed by the Arab world.

Moroccowas the only Maghreb country that remained in its seat [9]. This highlights the independent path taken by the Rabat government to maintain its normalization of relations with Israel.

4. Key Issues

First, unlike previous phases, this isolation stems from the poor implementation of the ceasefire rather than the continuation of the war. The focus of the issue has shifted from the breakdown of negotiations to the credibility of implementing agreements.

Second, the sources of pressure have expanded from traditional adversaries to Arab partner countries that maintain formal relations with Israel. The participation of Egypt, Jordan, and the UAE in the joint statement signals that the diplomatic assets of normalization are not unconditional.

Third, whether the US distancing is a temporary electoral tactic or the beginning of a structural shift is a variable that will determine Israel's future negotiating leverage. The key is whether the Trump administration will maintain its current distance even after the midterm elections.

Fourth, international isolation holds dual implications for Netanyahu in the context of the general election. Domestically, he can expect it to rally support for his hardline stance, but externally, a structure is hardening where maintaining the far-right coalition directly leads to deepening diplomatic isolation.

II. In-Depth Analysis

In-Depth Analysis: Structural Causes and Future Trajectory of Netanyahu’s Isolation at the UN General Assembly

1. Analysis of Root Causes

The superficial trigger for this incident is the humanitarian crisis in Gaza. However, the root cause lies in Israel's foreign policy decision-making structure itself. Netanyahu had already been indicted on corruption charges before the outbreak of the war [2][4]. The structure is such that once the war ends, accountability for the October 7, 2023 disaster will immediately come to the fore [2][6]. This political constraint serves as the primary driver for sustaining his hardline stance.

The veto power held within the coalition by National Security Minister Ben-Gvir and Finance Minister Smotrich is also a structural factor [2][4]. Both figures have consistently opposed a withdrawal from Gaza and the survival of Hamas [2][4]. Should Netanyahu yield to international pressure and pivot to a conciliatory stance, it would immediately trigger the political cost of coalition collapse and early elections. With the general election on October 27 just a month away [13], rallying his domestic hardline base is a higher priority for Netanyahu than managing his international image.

Another point to note in the analysis of root causes is that the walkout protest itself has been transformed into material to exploit this structure. Netanyahu characterized the departing diplomats as “moral cowards” [12]. The Israeli delegation responded to this remark with a standing ovation [14]. Rather than being perceived as a diplomatic failure, international isolation is being reframed as a confrontational narrative for domestic politics. This creates a paradoxical mechanism where the incentives for a policy shift actually weaken as isolation deepens.

2. Structural Context

Political Structure: Defection of Arab Normalization Partners

The composition of the signatories to this joint statement is a structurally significant signal. Egypt and Jordan are peace treaty partners with Israel, and the UAE is a signatory to the Abraham Accords [5][10]. The fact that these countries joined Saudi Arabia, Qatar, Turkey, Pakistan, and Indonesia in signing a statement of pressure against Israel demonstrates that the normalization track itself cannot be separated from the issue of Gaza implementation [5][10]. The statement demanded the “immediate implementation of unfulfilled commitments under Phase 1 of the comprehensive plan” [10]. A structure is emerging where the Trump administration's regional agenda of expanding the Abraham Accords is stalled due to Israel's delays in Gaza implementation.

In the Maghreb region, the cracks are even more pronounced. Morocco was the only country that remained in its seat during Netanyahu's speech [9]. Other Maghreb nations, including Algeria, withdrew their delegations [9]. This demonstrates that internal responses within the Arab world are stratified according to the level of their normalization of relations with Israel. The pattern shows that the deeper the level of normalization, the lower the intensity of defection during this pressure phase.

Security Structure: Cumulative Costs of Multi-Front Escalation

Since October 2023, the Israel Defense Forces (IDF) have expanded military operations beyond Gaza to encompass six countries, including Lebanon, Syria, Iraq, Yemen, Qatar, and Iran [2][4]. This scope of escalation itself forms the physical basis of Israel's international isolation. The Gulf Daily News reported that the focus of the protest was the ongoing violence in Gaza and the expansion of West Bank settlements [11]. The National (UAE) pointed out a structure where hostilities involving Iran and Houthi rebels push up international oil prices, thereby impacting even the US midterm elections [13]. It is a chain structure where the wider the radius of Israel's military actions, the greater the political burden on its allies, including the United States.

Economic Structure: Tension Between the Normalization Agenda and Sanctions Pressure

Expanding the Abraham Accords is a core pillar of US Middle East policy. However, as long as delays in Gaza implementation persist, the incentive for potential normalization candidates, including Saudi Arabia, to participate is weakened. The very fact that Saudi Arabia signed the eight-nation statement [5][10] suggests that progress on the normalization track and Gaza implementation are effectively bound together as a single negotiation package.

3. Comparison with Historical Precedents and Similar Cases

A walkout protest also occurred during Netanyahu's speech at the 2025 UN General Assembly. However, this incident is qualitatively different in terms of scale. The Arab Times calculated the scale of this walkout at 70 national delegations [3]. The French-language media outlet TSA described the assembly hall as “nearly empty” [9]. This indicates that the intensity of pressure has risen by a level compared to the previous year.

The reduction in Netanyahu's schedule in New York is another comparative indicator. The National reported that this visit lasted less than eight hours [7][13], contrasting sharply with his week-long schedule the previous year [7]. A separate meeting with President Trump was also not planned this time [7][13]. An itinerary that virtually omitted bilateral contacts with leaders of key Western allies demonstrates that the character of the Israeli Prime Minister's UN visit has shifted from generating diplomatic achievements to performing a domestic ritual.

The remarks by Irish Taoiseach Miche?l Martin are also significant in a comparative context. Characterizing Israel's military actions as “excessive and disproportionate,” he took the UN podium immediately following Netanyahu's speech [16]. The timing of a Western leader's critical remarks to coincide with the slot right after Netanyahu's address suggests that this UN General Assembly had been pre-coordinated to serve as a stage for collective pressure against Israel.

4. Key Variables Shaping Future Developments

The first variable is the Israeli general election on October 27 [13]. If Netanyahu continues to use international isolation as a tool for domestic mobilization ahead of the election, the possibility of a shift toward a conciliatory policy will inevitably be deferred until after the election. If the standing of far-right partners like Ben-Gvir and Smotrich within the coalition changes depending on the election results, the scope of policy discretion could shift.

The second variable is the pace of implementing Phase 1 of the Gaza ceasefire [5][10]. Whether there is substantial improvement in the delivery of humanitarian aid and the entry of early recovery supplies, as demanded by the eight-nation statement, will be a key indicator regulating the level of pressure from normalization partners. If delays in implementation persist, the pressure on existing normalization countries like Egypt, Jordan, and the UAE to distance themselves could become more formalized.

The third variable is the US mediation stance. Given that the Trump administration perceives rising oil prices driven by Iran and the Houthis as a midterm election risk [13], the key is whether the United States will move to exert tangible leverage over Israel. The fact that a Trump-Netanyahu meeting did not take place during this General Assembly [7][13] demonstrates that a coordination gap between the two countries is already becoming visible. If this gap persists, Israel's diplomatic isolation has the potential to spread beyond the Arab world to its traditional allies.

III. Recommended Response Measures

Comprehensive Response Measures: Netanyahu’s UN General Assembly Isolation and South Korea’s Response

1. Comprehensive Assessment and Recommended Response Measures

The walkout protest at this UN General Assembly is not a one-off diplomatic incident. The scale of the walkout, involving delegations from 70 countries, is qualitatively different from that of the 2025 General Assembly [3]. The core issue is that even the UAE, a signatory to the Abraham Accords, and Egypt and Jordan, which have peace treaties with Israel, signed the statement of pressure [5][10]. This signals that Israel's foreign relations are expanding beyond conflicts with adversaries to cracks in its relationships with normalization partners.

At the same time, this isolation is being treated as a manageable cost within Netanyahu's domestic political calculations. He characterized the departing diplomats as “moral cowards,” and the Israeli delegation responded with a standing ovation [12][14]. With the general election on October 27 approaching [13], international isolation is instead being converted into material to rally his hardline base. As long as the veto structure of far-right coalition partners like Ben-Gvir and Smotrich remains in place, a paradox is highly likely to persist where stronger international criticism further weakens the incentives for a policy shift [2][4].

The implications for the South Korean government and businesses fall into two categories. The first is the impact of the stagnation in the Israel-Arab normalization track on the regional business environment. The second is the energy and logistics risks stemming from prolonged multi-front military operations. Both categories should be classified not as short-term volatility, but as structural variables that will persist even after the general election.

2. Short-, Medium-, and Long-Term Action Plans

Short-term (1–3 Months: General Election Phase)

It is necessary to track the results of the Israeli general election (October 27) and the potential reorganization of the ruling coalition [13]. If Netanyahu wins a vote of confidence, his current hardline stance is highly likely to be extended; conversely, if the coalition collapses, uncertainty during a policy vacuum could increase. During this period, the actions of the eight countries that participated in the joint statement—including the UAE, Saudi Arabia, and Egypt—regarding whether they freeze economic cooperation with Israel must be monitored individually [5][10]. If South Korean companies have ongoing projects with these countries, they need to assess indirect risks arising from the stagnation of the normalization track.

Medium-term (3–12 Months: Implementation Phase)

The key is whether the delivery of humanitarian aid and early recovery supplies actually improves during the implementation phase of the Gaza ceasefire [10]. Whether the "Phase 1 of the Comprehensive Plan" demanded by the joint statement of the eight countries is implemented will serve as a leading indicator for the resumption of the normalization track [10]. If this indicator deteriorates, the possibility cannot be ruled out that the Arab nations' collective pressure on Israel will escalate beyond mere statements to substantive economic and diplomatic measures. At this juncture, South Korean companies should flesh out plans to establish permanent hedging mechanisms for Red Sea shipping routes and energy supply.

Long-term (1 Year or More)

Unless Israel narrows the scope of its multi-front operations (Lebanon, Syria, Iraq, Yemen, Qatar, and Iran) [2][4], its international isolation is highly likely to solidify as a structural constant. As the U.S. regional agenda of expanding the Abraham Accords stagnates, the pace of reshaping the regional order in the Middle East could slow down. The South Korean government needs to clarify the principle of managing its individual bilateral relations with Middle Eastern countries separately from the Israel variable.

3. Monitoring Indicators and Trigger Points

First, the results of the Israeli general election on October 27 and the composition of the ruling coalition [13]. If the Ben-Gvir and Smotrich factions secure the casting vote again, the hardline policy is highly likely to continue [2][4].

Second, the level of follow-up actions taken by the countries participating in the eight-nation joint statement [5][10]. The turning point is whether the statement remains a repetitive appeal or escalates into economic and diplomatic sanctions.

Third, changes in the attitude of Maghreb countries, excluding Morocco, toward Israel [9]. It is necessary to verify whether the pattern observed this time—where countries with lower levels of normalization implementation showed a stronger tendency to distance themselves—will recur.

Fourth, the spillover effect of hostilities involving Iran and the Houthis on oil prices [13]. This can be seen as a leading indicator to gauge the intensity of the Trump administration's intervention in Middle East policy ahead of the U.S. midterm elections.

4. Summary and Conclusion

Netanyahu's isolation at the UN General Assembly reaffirmed the structural reality that moral pressure from the international community does not directly translate into a policy shift by Israel. Although the collective pressure from the eight nations, including normalization partners, sends a substantive signal, Netanyahu's personal political survival mechanism and the veto power of the far-right coalition are absorbing that pressure [2][4][5][10]. The South Korean government and businesses should use this situation as an opportunity to gauge the policy direction after the Israeli general election, while establishing response systems by separating the stagnation of the normalization track and the risk of multi-front escalation into distinct axes.

References

[1] [Daily Sabah] Netanyahu faces mass UN walkout as Israel's isolation deepens

[2] [EAI East Asia Institute] Netanyahu's 'Permanent War' Strategy and Outlook on Prolonged Middle East Risks

[3] [Arab Times] Kuwait Among Nearly 70 Nations to Walk Out During Netanyahu’s UN Address

[4] [EAI East Asia Institute] Netanyahu's Rejection of Trump's Gaza Peace Plan: Analysis of Background and Implications

[5] [Daily Sabah] Türkiye, 7 countries call on Israel to commit to Gaza peace plan

[6] [EAI East Asia Institute] Gaza Peace Plan Stalemate: Breakdown of Kushner-Netanyahu-Hamas Negotiations and Countermeasures

[7] [Daily Sabah] Netanyahu's 'humiliating' UN visit reflects growing Israeli isolation

[8] [Hürriyet Daily News] Global backlash at UN underscores Israel’s deepening isolation

[9] [TSA (Tout sur l'Algérie)] Benyamin Netanyahu devant l’ONU : le Maroc, seul pays du Maghreb à assister

[10] [Khaleej Times] UAE, Qatar, 6 other countries call upon Israel to uphold Gaza ceasefire, allow aid

[11] [Gulf Daily News] Mass walkout as Netanyahu addresses the UN

[12] [Le Monde] Dozens of UN envoys walk out of Israeli PM Netanyahu's speech

[13] [The National (UAE)] Benjamin Netanyahu heads to UNGA with few friends

[14] [Breaking Belize News] International News: UN delegates walk out as Netanyahu addresses General Assembly

[15] [Al Jazeera] Delegates walk out of Netanyahu’s UN speech

[16] [The Irish Times] Israel becoming isolated over ‘disproportionate, shocking’ actions in Gaza, says Taoiseach

[17] [Daily Maverick] At UN, Netanyahu defends Israel as delegates storm out

[18] [Foreign Policy] Netanyahu Faces an UNGA Walkout (Again)

[19] [Gazeta.uz] BMT Bosh assambleyasining o‘nlab delegatlari Netanyahuning nutqi oldidan zalni tark etdi (video) - https://www.gazeta.uz/oz/2026/09/25/un-netanyahu/

[20] [The Guardian] Netanyahu calls Israel’s war in Gaza ‘opposite of genocide’ in UN speech

[21] [Wafa] Dozens of delegates walk out as Netanyahu begins UN speech

[22] [Al-Monitor] Dozens of delegates walk out of UN hall at start of Netanyahu speech

[23] [Al Jazeera] Netanyahu’s UN belligerence wins cheers at home as world walks out

[24] [Nyasa Times] Chaponda stayed put as Malawi skips UN walkout on Netanyahu

*This text is an AI translation of an original written in Korean. Some translations or nuances may be inaccurate.

This report is an in-depth analysis planned by an EAI researcher, grounded in sophisticated AI-assisted research, and finalized by the EAI researcher.

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